I had blogged long ago, I thought Putin would wait until the 2020 election to disseminate information the Russians had stolen from the RNC (when they had also successfully stolen DNC data in 2016) if it appeared that Trump would lose. Well, it appears Trump will lose, but there is no upside to releasing that information. No peepee tapes either. It remains ideal to let Donny run amok across the country, in government or out of government.
I think it is important to point out, 19% of the entire US population actively supported (voted for) Trump in 2016. We can assume the Trump train has lost some of those people, but also encouraged some that did not vote in 2016, to vote this time, through their messaging of fear. Therefore, for sake of argument, let’s assume this number is close to the same. 20%. Not half of the country. Half of the country is not crazy, neither is this entire 20%. Okay? I would suggest that 20% is not equally distributed, but instead, more concentrated and facing a larger number than Clinton had won. He will lose the popular vote and the electoral college.
Trump’s only option was to create the boogieman of tampered/illegal mail in ballots, so those could be discarded through court action, the problem with this gambit is, not everyone that would prefer to vote for Trump is crazy, so with the Covid19 infection rate closing in on 100,000 per day, this ploy will result in some people deciding to not vote on election day. A quick look at the weather map indicates virtually smooth sailing, so weather will probably not influence the vote.
I do not believe we will see widespread violence at polling sites. Probably small, isolated incidents of no great effect. The great majority of people just want to cast their vote, and/or watch the process from home, much like a sporting event.
What we do know is that the Trump Campaign, the RNC, and state run GOP groups across the country are losing case after case to suppress voting and discard votes already cast. We also know, immediately after the polls close, these parties will recommit to court actions to discount legitimate votes. That’s the only way Trump can stay in power. Trump’s hardcore base has now been trained to expect this. They know that the GOP plans on stealing this election, but have swallowed whole the tortured reasoning and rationalization as to how this is acceptable for this election or our democracy.
Therefore, if we are to be concerned about violence, that will manifest itself in the days following the election, when Donny will signal whom the offending party is. The Governor of Pennsylvania, or the Governor of Michigan. The division of elections of Florida. The cities of Houston, Dallas, Austin, or San Antonio. Particular lawyers in particular courthouses. “The media.” Even if he clearly has overwhelmingly lost, he will pick out enemies.
He will no doubt make generalized statements about the “rigged” election, and how unfair and fraudulent everything is, but we’re used to that aren’t we? So are his followers. It’s the particular declarations for which we need to look out. He will let his followers know which parties need to have justice visited upon them, and we shall have to wait and see if a small minority of that 20% heed the call. He’ll do the usual “people are saying…,” and “if you take a look at…”
If he does not overwhelmingly lose, we can expect protracted unrest. Any case he is allowed to win by his own selected jurors, we can expect the left to take to the streets in DC. The re-erection of a third wall around the White House, does not inspire confidence that Donny will not manufacture as much dissent as possible. Not only does he not care about the well being of any of his followers, or any US citizen, he clearly delights in anarchy. I am not certain the new fence around the WH is entirely Donny’s idea, but may be SS and staff deciding, for sure, Donny is going to make this worse, let’s put up that fence so we all don’t die.
So I am presenting 2 “ifs”:
If he is allowed to steal a state, or,
If his followers decide to heed the call.
No matter what form the election takes, it is clear Donny has already begun sabotaging the federal government for the incoming administration. If and when he loses, he will insist on no federal plan for the virus and ramp up a “going out of business sale” of corruption and influence peddling we never imagined.
He won’t go out pretty. We know that. He is going to leave as much anguish and anarchy in his wake as possible. Just like all of his business disasters.
He will already be planning his next ego-feeding business of Trump TV or some weird WWE/Trump co-platform. Selling their rage, destruction, and vanquishing of imaginary adversaries which is packaged for the created disaffected mob; the mindless, slack-jawed followers, keen on “owning the libs” by punching themselves in the face. He will immediately file to run for 2024 and continue his cult pep rallies that never ended. Donny will create enmity with every town he stiffs, thinking he is still protected by the weight of the Federal government. Eventually Donny will find the end of the road in the open doors of courthouses, awaiting his final show.
That city whose justice he has evaded for decades, will finally have their day.
HR1 is a massive anti-corruption, single bill package of individual bills to: bring clarity to the effects of dark money in elections, remove gerrymandering, require tax filings of the President and Vice President be made public, enforce stricter lobbying requirements, make election day a national holiday, and address the many voter fraud/suppression issues of the last election cycle. It was passed strictly on party line in the House this week, and shall not even reach the floor of the Senate for a vote, because it represents what is contrary to the ideals of the GOP and what they believe a “democracy” ought to be.
Even if a super-majority of Americans support the concepts within HR1, which they do, the GOP is rolling out the false narratives with support of propaganda media, to describe to their base why they should continue to vote against their own interests or in defense of an honest democracy.
The tactics to discredit, malign, or misrepresent the contents of HR1, vary from the utterly idiotic to an almost admirable calculated evil.
Trump-style, “I’m rubber, you’re glue” argument:
Rep. Rodney Davis (R): “This bill is nothing but a bill that is for loading billions of billions of dollars into the coffers of members of Congress.”
-Which is clearly the opposite of the effects of this bill in both intent and in practice.
For fear of federal powers encroaching on our states and individual rights:
“This bill is a massive federal government takeover that would undermine the integrity of our elections,” House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif .
“It should be called the Democrat Politician Protection Act,” he wrote.
-So, removing the GOP’s ability to undermine or suppress the will of the people through the various measures they have enacted for years, would undermine the will of the people, which is especially nefarious if placed into law by Congress. Worse, as Mitch pointed out, if the majority of people do or would vote for Democrats, then Democrats are clearly acting in bad faith for desiring their votes to be allowed and counted as such. What it should be called is the, “Democratic Protection Act,” Something Mitch’s party cannot abide by.
This little game played by House GOP is really fucking disgusting, and kinda clever- Didn’t you know HR1 is a bill designed to allow illegal immigrants to vote in federal elections?
Right? We all knew that was the plan all along. That’s why liberals are so keen on not disparaging all the gun-totting terrorist gang member drug dealing rapists just pouring in through the border. Because there are literally buses at the border picking up these gang members and driving them to voting booths in California! Voter fraud my friends. IT’S ALL RIGGED! And now they’re trying to legalize it. Oh this narrative fits so nicely into the grand scheme. It’s all coming together, isn’t it?
This story was run by the Washington Times and picked up by all of the cult print propaganda outlets for consumption of the true believers, in hopes they keep the GOP in the Senate so nothing in HR1 will ever see the light of day.
Let’s take this apart.
First, I would like to say that the headline does not say, “in Federal elections,” although the word “voting” implies it, and if you think that isn’t the truth, go to that thread’s conversation and read the comments about “Civil war,” and, “They’ve gone too far this time!” Second, related to this, is the certainty that very few people will actually read the story, when the headline already confirms what cult members want to believe.
If you were to read the story, you would discover:
“The measure would have had no practical effect even if it had passed. Illegal immigrants — and indeed noncitizens as a whole — are not legally able to participate in federal elections.
Now you go into that thread and argue facts with the cult, because the bottom line is, liberals want “illegals” to vote, because it’s in HR1.
The thing is, it is NOT in HR1. There is no mention to allow “illegals” to vote. Neither the Democrats or the Republicans voted on a measure to allow the undocumented to vote. that never happened.
What did happen, was that piece of shit Dan Crenshaw, you know, the eyepatch guy that seemed like he might be reasonable, introduced an amendment to “recommit” the bill (sending it back to the committee) to rewrite the bill to include language to express the “sense” of the house that the undocumented ought not be allowed to vote under any circumstances by any States. Which means, he wants the Federal government to declare to the States that what has been their right, should not be their right to decide.
Crenshaw was asking the Democrats to vote to suggest to take away a right of the States. Understand? They were not voting to allow the undocumented to vote in the Fed or States, they were voting to take away that which already exists. The Democrats did not vote for this measure and did not vote to allow “illegals to vote,” and it is not in HR1.
We could go further into the weeds with this- The constitution does not expressly forbid non-citizens to vote, what it does do is outline in amendments how citizens shall vote in federal elections. It wasn’t expressly forbidden in Federal Elections until 1996, Not that any state was allowing non-citizens to vote in Federal elections at that time anyway.
In early US history, there really wasn’t any problem with this lack of clarification. We can imagine how circumstance would arise, especially during expansion, that input by non-citizens wouldn’t only be allowed in some States, it might have been necessary as some jurisdictions might have comprised almost entirely of non-citizens in various forms of naturalization.
We can also imagine how, currently, a locality might find cause to allow non-citizens to vote in referendum, special election, or locally appointed political positions. This was always a decision for the states to make according to their needs and dictate to their localities. Most states, over time have written their own laws to expressly forbid any non-citizen to vote in any matter, but there are eleven states that still allow it in some situations according to their own desires.
Now, we can agree with this or not. That is besides the point and it should be an issue we take up with our states. What Crenshaw was doing, was asking to take away an existing State’s right and creating the opportunity for a false narrative to undermine the entire package of laws that are designed for the benefit of the people.
How do you think this tweet is read by the cult?
There are some problems with HR1, particularly as outlined by the ACLU in regards to 1st amendment rights. In reading their concerns, I think they have raised legitimate issues that would indeed be very difficult to correct. I would suggest splitting this bill into it’s disparate parts and deal with these issues one at a time in 2020.
What is very, very sad, is no one is even talking about this very important bill that would go a long way to correcting the sickness in our democracy. It’s considered dead.
What HR1 is:
H.R. 1 is a sweeping package of pro-democracy and anticorruption
reforms to put power back in the hands of the American people by ending
the dominance of big money in politics; making it easier, not harder,
to vote; and ensuring that politicians actually serve the public
H.R. 1 offers the most transformational and comprehensive democracy
reforms in more than four decades, following through on Democrats’
election promise to clean up the chaos and corruption in Washington.
Oversight of federal elections is one of the chief tasks of the
Committee on House Administration. Historically, the committee has had a
hand in shaping legislation that touches on any and all aspects of
federal elections. Issues concerning corrupt practices, contested
congressional elections, campaign finance disclosures, and credentials
and qualifications of House Members also fall under its purview.
H.R. 1 makes critical reforms across three key areas:
Improve Access – H.R. 1 expands access to the
ballot box by taking aim at key institutional barriers to voting, such
as burdensome registration systems, limited voting hours and many other
roadblocks. H.R. 1 creates automatic voter registration across the
country, ensures that individuals who have completed felony sentences
have their full rights restored, expands voting by mail and early voting
and modernizes the U.S. voting system.
Promote Integrity – H.R. 1 fights back against
Republicans’ assault on voting rights by committing Congress to restore
the Voting Rights Act; prohibiting voter roll purges like those seen in
Ohio, Georgia and elsewhere; and ensuring that discriminatory voter ID
laws do not prevent Americans citizens from exercising their rights.
H.R. 1 also ends partisan gerrymandering to prevent politicians from
picking their voters and lets American voters instead choose their
Ensure Security – H.R. 1 promises that American
elections to be decided by American voters without interference from
foreign entities. The bill enhances federal support for voting system
security, particularly paper ballots, and increases oversight over
Guarantee Disclosure – H.R. 1 shines a light on
dark money in politics by requiring any organization involved in
political activity to disclose its large donors, which will break the
nesting-doll system that allows big-money contributors and special
interests to hide their spending in networks of socalled “social
Empower Citizens – H.R. 1 levels the political
playing field for everyday Americans, empowering individuals with a
multiple matching system for small donations and allowing the American
people to exercise their due influence in a post-Citizens United world,
while reaffirming that Congress should have the authority to regulate
money in politics. The new system of citizen-owned elections will break
special interests’ stranglehold on politics and enable Congress to
advance an agenda that serves the American people.
Ethics and Accountability
Fortify Ethics Law – H.R. 1 breaks the
influence economy in Washington and increases accountability by
expanding conflict of interest law and divestment requirements, slowing
the revolving door, preventing Members of Congress from serving on
corporate boards and requiring presidential candidates to disclose their
Impose Greater Ethics Enforcement – H.R. 1 gives
teeth to federal ethics oversight by overhauling the Office of
Government Ethics, closing registration loopholes for lobbyists and
foreign agents, ensuring watchdogs have sufficient resources to enforce
the law and creating a code of ethics for the Supreme Court.