The Truth About the Leverage of Javelin Missiles

The GOP party platform as created at the Cleveland GOP convention in early July, 2016, was directed to suit the Trump campaign’s point of view. We have forgotten what transpired.

Platform committee members devised to include language to supply Ukraine with more than just “assistance.” They wrote into the platform the need to “provide lethal defense weapons”

From Washington Post article:

I do not know what the entire original language was, The final form is:

“We support maintaining and, if warranted, increasing sanctions, together with our allies, against Russia unless and until Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity are fully restored. We also support providing appropriate assistance to the armed forces of Ukraine and greater coordination with NATO defense planning.”

“If warranted” is a subjective analysis of whomever might be in control of the presidency. “Appropriate assistance” is also a subjective outcome and certainly isn’t the exact and meaningful “providing lethal weapons.”

Also, of note:

“We will not accept any territorial change in Eastern Europe imposed by force, in Ukraine, Georgia, or elsewhere, and will use all appropriate constitutional measures to bring to justice the practitioners of aggression and assassination.”

We have to look at the intention of this wording now. We will not accept territorial change by force, but neither will we provide lethal assistance against it. What we will accept is territorial change after the use of force as agreed by treaty. We will use appropriate “constitutional” measures, which are US-centric, not NATO actions, not global/EU coalition sanctions. And that is exactly where we are in Ukraine right now. That’s what Donny wanted back then, that’s what he is lobbying for now.

Once a treaty is ratified, which a currently weakened Ukraine has little choice but signing, due to the utter bullshit of what it has become to deal with the US -and it’s wavering commitment to global democracy -and Trump led, corruption championing interactions with them, once that treaty is signed, then there is no underlying reason for sanctions against Russia. It’s been resolved you see. Then there is no reason why Russia shouldn’t be restored to the G8.

As far as the inclusion of “assassination,” that mess is another story for another time, but let’s not forget this administration’s attempted inaction and outright apologetic complicity in assassinations as a general rule, and Russia’s as a particular constant. The application of “appropriate constitutional measures” is also entirely subjective.

Bottom line, the Trump campaign did not want to provide what would represent Javelin missiles to Ukraine and had that language removed from the party platform in 2016 before Trump was even elected.

Without getting to far into the weeds, let’s not forget Trump’s vision of a sanction-free Russia existed from the very beginning of his candidacy, as witnessed in his response to a question by the future convicted spy Maria Butina in 2015.

I didn’t realize it’s true, he actually used to be a little more articulate, even if still a complete fucking idiot. I digress.

It’s no wonder that at the time, Ukrainian officials were not jazzed about Trump becoming President. Donny’s agenda regarding Russia-Ukraine were pretty much a foregone conclusion before the election. There was no concerted Ukrainian effort to conspire to hinder Donny’s election, there was an overt , out in the open, dislike of the idea by some Ukrainian officials.

Put on your thinking cap. What is one attribute at which Donny excels? RETRIBUTION. Not only was Donny clearly going to run a pro-Russian administration, he would fold into that the need for retribution against what he perceived as a slight from some Ukrainian leaders.

Aside from stating during his candidacy that Ukraine’s problems weren’t those of the US, but of the EU, and should be “settled” by Russia and Ukraine, he said he “didn’t care” if Ukraine were to join NATO, all he cared about was who was going to pay for our future US mercenary forces. All he cared about was “Islamic extremists” and worldwide population shifts resulting in forced migrations. That was the “real” threat.

When it became clear that the US would in fact supply “Lethal force” in the form of javelins to Ukraine, that plan didn’t come directly from the White House. Those plans came from a Pentagon proposal, Congress, and NATO leaders constant urging.

Trump had zero interest in the protection of Ukraine, but high interest in whatever some Ukrainians may have said about him in the past.

June, 2017:

“Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko may have pulled off a small coup in winning an audience with U.S. President Donald Trump before Russian leader Vladimir Putin could.

Judging from the deafening silence coming from the White House, however, it’s a small coup that the U.S. administration doesn’t seem interested in publicizing.

When Poroshenko meets Trump for the first time, scheduled for June 20, he could have some explaining to do, and even perhaps some groveling.

Members of Poroshenko’s administration, including his ambassador to Washington and Ukrainian lawmakers, were openly critical of Trump and supportive of his Democratic opponent, Hillary Clinton, during the 2016 election.”

“While there is bipartisan support in Congress for supplying new weaponry, Trump has not signaled whether he would consider doing so. Poroshenko may try to get a direct answer on that.”

“Poroshenko will also be looking to get a firm commitment from Trump that he won’t roll back the U.S. sanctions imposed on Russia over its annexation of Crimea and military support for separatists, Haran told RFE/RL.

Kyiv received a positive sign last week when the Senate overwhelmingly passed legislation prohibiting Trump from rolling back sanctions without Congress’s approval. But some officials in Kyiv were concerned by Secretary of State Rex Tillerson’s comments to lawmakers, asking them not to restrict the White House’s ability to negotiate with Russia.”

Funny how Congress seems to have forgotten how they used to be very concerned about Donny’s Russia leaning ideology and were uniformly and overwhelmingly in support of stopping him from fucking around with Ukraine.

Now…when the Javelins finally started arriving in Ukraine, Donny found himself a little useful leverage, didn’t he. The missiles themselves were no large deterrent to Russian aggression, what they were was a symbol of US interests. A symbol which has since been shit away by this administration’s constant signalling that what is really important to Donny is the type of backroom dealing and self-serving interests that Putin really, really enjoys himself.

It’s all good.

Let’s not forget what happened the first time the Trump administration threatened to not send Javelin missiles to Ukraine.

“Conveniently for Trump, there’s no indication that US officials directly told the Ukrainians that shutting down cooperation with Mueller was a condition of getting the anti-tank missiles.”

“Instead, Ukrainians say they were simply working off of their own understanding of what Trump would want them to do:

Volodymyr Ariev, a member of Parliament who is an ally of President Petro O. Poroshenko, readily acknowledged that the intention in Kiev was to put investigations into Mr. Manafort’s activities “in the long-term box.”

“In every possible way, we will avoid irritating the top American officials,” Mr. Ariev said in an interview. “We shouldn’t spoil relations with the administration.” “

Donny didn’t directly say so…

Sounds familiar, right?


Finally, it has been reported in several sources and from military leaders in Ukraine, that Ukraine received the Javelins with the condition that they not be deployed on the front line. In other words, they can’t be used against Russians unless the US changes its mind.

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